Methodology
Prediction Quant evaluates markets through four complementary lenses — Prime, Hedge, Arbitrage, and Middles — each designed to answer a different question before capital is committed.
PRIME + EV
EDGESTRIKE
ARB
JOURNAL
ANALYTICS

+EV Engine
Find mathematically mispriced markets before the crowd does.
Prime +EV Line
Prime +EV highlights the strongest +EV opportunities on the board using cleaner trade quality, stronger mispricing, and better tradeability.
Compares fair value vs market price in real time
Finds mathematically mispriced contracts
Filters for actionable opportunities only
Highlights Prime +EV setups first
The +EV Engine compares fair value against live market pricing to identify contracts where the odds are wrong. It is designed to surface actionable edge — not just interesting numbers.
Why Prediction Quant?
It does not:
Instead, Prediction Quant exists to help you decide whether a market deserves participation at all.
The current platform focuses on market evaluation and decision support — assessing structure, incentives, and risk before capital is committed.
Good outcomes are a byproduct. Good decisions are the goal.
How it works
Step 1
Evaluate the Market
Each market is reviewed based on how it is constructed.
Is the resolution wording explicit and enforceable?
Are incentives aligned with the stated outcome?
Does timing introduce hidden structural risk?
Step 2
Classify the Structure
Markets may be classified as :
Prime: Well-constructed markets with explicit rules
Sub-Prime: Markets with structural weaknesses
Contextual-Only: Language/mentions markets requiring qualitative evaluation
Step 3
Identify Structural Archetypes
We identify structural patterns within or across markets:
Hedge: Potential risk offsets relative to existing exposure
Arbitrage: Rare pricing discrepancies across platforms
+EV signals focus on directional mispricing
Step 4
Reinforce Discipline
Prediction Quant supports post-decision review through:
Trade journaling and decision tracking
Behavioral and decision analytics
Performance review frameworks
Prediction Quant supports post-decision review through:
Pricing
FAQs
A concise explanation of scope, methodology, and decision ownership.
Is Prediction Quant a signals or picks service?
Does Prediction Quant tell me what to bet?
Are all markets scored?
Which platforms does Prediction Quant support?
Will Prediction Quant support trade execution in the future?
Does Prediction Quant guarantee results?
Prediction Quant is decision intelligence for prediction markets. Evaluate market structure, risk geometry, and incentive alignment before risking capital.
$49/month • Cancel anytime





