Outcome & Resolution Markets
Binary markets with clear yes/no resolution criteria. These form the core of our structural analysis.
Event outcomes with definitive resolution
Regulatory and policy decisions
Corporate announcements and earnings
Threshold & Range Markets
Markets based on quantitative thresholds or value ranges with measurable resolution criteria.
Economic indicator levels
Price targets and ranges
Quantitative benchmarks
Mentions & Language Markets
Markets tied to specific language, statements, or mentions in defined contexts. Evaluated contextually.
Speech and statement content
Document language analysis
Media mention thresholds
Cross-Market Structures
Related markets that create structural opportunities through correlation or divergence patterns.
Multi-outcome event markets
Sequential resolution chains
Platform arbitrage opportunities
Kalshi
U.S.-regulated prediction market exchange offering event contracts across multiple categories.
Centralized order book structure
Regulatory compliance framework
Standardized contract formats
Polymarket
Blockchain-based prediction market platform with global accessibility and diverse market offerings.
AMM and order book hybrid
Decentralized resolution
Higher liquidity variance
A concise explanation of scope, methodology, and decision ownership.
Prediction Quant is decision intelligence for prediction markets. Evaluate market structure, risk geometry, and incentive alignment before risking capital.
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